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The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization founded on May 14, 1948, when it was incorporated as an independent entity after originating as Project RAND in 1946 under the U.S. Army Air Forces. Headquartered in Santa Monica, California, with offices in Arlington (Virginia), Pittsburgh, Boston, and international locations in Cambridge (UK), Brussels, and Canberra, RAND employs approximately 1,850 people and operates with annual revenues of roughly $460 million. Its mission is to help improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis.
RAND's AI safety and emerging technology work is housed primarily in the Global and Emerging Risks division and its flagship Center on AI, Security, and Technology (RAND CAST), founded and directed by Sella Nevo, who previously led a team of 70 researchers at Google working on machine learning for humanitarian and climate challenges. RAND CAST was built on the work of two earlier centers: the Technology and Security Policy Center (TASP) and the Meselson Center for Biodefense…
RAND's theory of change for AI safety operates through providing rigorous, nonpartisan policy analysis to decision-makers in government and industry at a critical juncture in AI development. By producing technically grounded research on frontier AI risks -- including model weight security, loss-of-control scenarios, biological misuse potential, and governance frameworks -- RAND aims to give policymakers actionable options for managing AI risks before catastrophic capabilities emerge. Through Project Canary, RAND and METR are building standardized pre-release safety evaluation tools that could become industry-wide infrastructure for risk assessment. RAND's unique position as a trusted, long-established policy institution gives its AI safety research credibility with government officials, military leaders, and industry executives who might not engage with newer or more advocacy-oriented organizations. By training the next generation of technology policy analysts through its CAST fellowship program and Pardee RAND Graduate School, RAND also aims to build lasting institutional capacity for AI governance.
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View on grantmaking.aiRAND Global and Emerging Risks (GER) is a research division of RAND Corporation, one of the world's preeminent nonpartisan policy research institutions. GER was established as part of RAND's 'Tomorrow Demands Today' capital campaign (launched 2020, concluded 2024 having raised over $466 million), which also created 18 new centers, institutes, and chair positions across RAND. Jim Mitre, who previously served as director of RAND's International Security and Defense Policy Program and had over a decade of service in the U.S. Department of Defense, was named the inaugural vice president and director of GER circa 2023. In January 2026, Mitre was elevated to Senior Vice President and Chief Research Officer of RAND, and in March 2026, Matan Chorev · a national security and foreign policy expert who had joined RAND in March 2025 as deputy director of GER · was appointed as the new vice president and director of GER…
GER operates on the premise that policymakers currently lack sufficient understanding of catastrophic and existential risks to act on them proportionately. By producing rigorous, independent research and developing new analytical methods, GER aims to close this knowledge gap: better-informed policymakers will prioritize and implement prudent risk-reduction measures. The division focuses on risks that are underserved by other research institutions and that could be catastrophic or existential at civilizational scale. On AI specifically, GER believes that understanding both the technical risk landscape and the geopolitical dynamics around advanced AI (including AGI) is a prerequisite for governments to adopt effective safety and governance policies. On biosecurity, nuclear risk, and climate, the same model applies: rigorous scenario analysis and policy-relevant research translate into better governmental decision-making and, ultimately, reduced probability of catastrophic outcomes.
RAND’s Technology and Security Policy Center (TASP) is a dedicated research center that sits at the leading edge of work on how high-consequence, dual-use technologies transform international competition and security. The center analyzes technologies such as advanced artificial intelligence and biotechnology, focusing on how they alter the global threat landscape, military and economic balances, and the tools available to democratic governments. TASP combines deep technical expertise with policy analysis to identify where emerging technologies create new risks and opportunities, and it designs policy and technological solutions that can enhance the security and competitive advantage of the United States, its allies, and partners. The center leads a portfolio of high-impact projects, engages closely with stakeholders in the policy and technology communities, and aims to ensure that its research remains both rigorous and directly relevant to real-world decisionmaking.
TASP’s theory of change is that carefully analyzing how high-consequence, dual-use technologies reshape global competition and the threat environment, and pairing that analysis with concrete policy and technological solutions, will allow the United States and its allies to harness emerging technologies for strategic advantage while mitigating security risks. By conducting rigorous research on technologies such as artificial intelligence and biotechnology, and by working closely with policymakers and other stakeholders to ensure its work is accurate, timely, and relevant, the center seeks to translate its findings into changes in defense and technology policy that reduce the likelihood and severity of destabilizing uses of these technologies.